Polymarket | The World's Largest Prediction Market

Fed decision in January? card icon

Fed decision in January?

50+ bps decrease

1%

25 bps decrease

8%

No change

92%

25+ bps increase

<1%

$175m Vol.

monthly

New "Stranger Things" episode released by...? card icon

New "Stranger Things" episode released by...?

January 7

<1%

January 31

2%

December 31

9%

$15m Vol.

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair? card icon

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Kevin Warsh

40%

Kevin Hassett

40%

Christopher Waller

11%

Rick Rieder

5%

Michelle Bowman

2%

Scott Bessent

2%

Judy Shelton

1%

James Bullard

<1%

Marc Sumerlin

<1%

David Zervos

<1%

Janet Yellen

<1%

$144m Vol.

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 card icon

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Gavin Newsom

36%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

11%

Pete Buttigieg

5%

Josh Shapiro

4%

Kamala Harris

4%

Jon Ossoff

3%

Andy Beshear

2%

J.B. Pritzker

2%

Wes Moore

2%

Mark Kelly

2%

Rahm Emanuel

2%

$448m Vol.

Nuggets

93%

Celtics

8%

Q4 - 03:47

$4m Vol.

•NBA

Raptors

49%

Hornets

52%

Q4 - 05:01

$4m Vol.

•NBA

Stars

93%

Capitals

8%

P3 - 11:08

$690k Vol.

•NHL

Senators

49%

Utah

52%

$725k Vol.

•NHL• 4:30 AM

2026 FIFA World Cup Winner card icon

2026 FIFA World Cup Winner

Spain

16%

England

14%

France

13%

Argentina

11%

Brazil

10%

Portugal

8%

Germany

7%

Norway

3%

Netherlands

3%

Italy

2%

USA

2%

$54m Vol.

Elon Musk # tweets January 2 - January 9, 2026? card icon

Elon Musk # tweets January 2 - January 9, 2026?

400-419

<1%

420-439

1%

440-459

3%

460-479

6%

480-499

16%

500-519

24%

520-539

25%

540-559

15%

560-579

7%

580+

4%

$8m Vol.

weekly

Portugal Presidential Election card icon

Portugal Presidential Election

Luís Marques Mendes (PSD)

48%

António José Seguro (IND)

26%

João Cotrim Figueiredo (IL)

13%

Henrique Gouveia e Melo (IND)

9%

André Ventura (CH)

4%

Manuela Magno (IND)

<1%

António Filipe (PCP)

<1%

Paulo Portas (CDS)

<1%

Rui Moreira (IND)

<1%

Tim Vieira (IND)

<1%

Joana Amaral Dias (ADN)

<1%

$90m Vol.

Presidential Election Winner 2028 card icon

Presidential Election Winner 2028

JD Vance

30%

Gavin Newsom

19%

Marco Rubio

8%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

8%

Donald Trump

3%

Pete Buttigieg

2%

Josh Shapiro

2%

Kamala Harris

2%

Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson

2%

Ron DeSantis

2%

Andy Beshear

1%

$175m Vol.

Super Bowl Champion 2026

Seattle

19%

Los Angeles R

16%

Denver

11%

Buffalo

10%

Philadelphia

9%

New England

8%

Houston

7%

Jacksonville

7%

San Francisco

4%

Chicago

3%

Green Bay

3%

$657m Vol.

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 card icon

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

J.D. Vance

54%

Marco Rubio

13%

Donald Trump

3%

Ron DeSantis

3%

Tucker Carlson

2%

Ted Cruz

2%

Donald Trump Jr.

2%

Marjorie Taylor Greene

1%

Glenn Youngkin

1%

Nikki Haley

1%

Ivanka Trump

1%

$162m Vol.

2026 NBA Champion card icon

2026 NBA Champion

Oklahoma City Thunder

40%

Denver Nuggets

11%

New York Knicks

8%

San Antonio Spurs

7%

Houston Rockets

7%

Boston Celtics

5%

Detroit Pistons

5%

Los Angeles Lakers

3%

Cleveland Cavaliers

3%

Minnesota Timberwolves

3%

Golden State Warriors

3%

$143m Vol.

What price will Bitcoin hit in January? card icon

What price will Bitcoin hit in January?

↑ 150,000

1%

↑ 130,000

1%

↑ 125,000

1%

↑ 120,000

1%

↑ 115,000

2%

↑ 110,000

5%

↑ 105,000

17%

↑ 100,000

35%

↑ 95,000

69%

↓ 85,000

38%

↓ 80,000

18%

$13m Vol.

monthly

Total commitments for the Ranger public sale on MetaDAO card icon

Total commitments for the Ranger public sale on MetaDAO

>$20M

91%

>$30M

84%

>$40M

71%

>$50M

57%

>$60M

52%

>$70M

43%

>$80M

34%

>$90M

31%

>$100M

22%

>$120M

15%

>$140M

12%

$6m Vol.

Bitcoin above ___ on January 8? card icon

Bitcoin above ___ on January 8?

78,000

100%

80,000

100%

82,000

100%

84,000

100%

86,000

100%

88,000

98%

90,000

84%

92,000

32%

94,000

4%

96,000

<1%

98,000

<1%

$2m Vol.

weekly

Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? card icon

Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

33%

chance

$3m Vol.

monthly

Bulls

37%

Pistons

64%

$3m Vol.

•NBA• 2:00 AM

Clippers

50%

Knicks

51%

$3m Vol.

•NBA• 2:30 AM

Jazz

9%

Thunder

91%

$3m Vol.

•NBA• 3:00 AM

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? card icon

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

15%

chance

$3m Vol.

Elon Musk # tweets January 6 - January 13, 2026? card icon

Elon Musk # tweets January 6 - January 13, 2026?

100-119

<1%

120-139

<1%

140-159

<1%

160-179

<1%

180-199

<1%

200-219

<1%

220-239

<1%

240-259

<1%

260-279

<1%

280-299

<1%

300-319

1%

$3m Vol.

weekly

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